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Samsung Shares Slide as $80 Billion Payout Plan Disappoints Investors

A record shareholder-return plan tied to Samsung's AI-driven profit boom fell short of what investors had bid the stock up to expect.

Samsung Shares Slide as $80 Billion Payout Plan Disappoints Investors
A silicon wafer bearing rows of memory chip dies. — Photograph: Laura Ockel / Unsplash
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Samsung Electronics shares fell as much as 8 percent in early Monday trading in Seoul, a sharp reversal for a stock that has climbed 135 percent this year, after the company's record shareholder-return plan left investors wanting more rather than less. The world's largest memory chipmaker said Friday it would return between 90 trillion and 110 trillion won — roughly $65 billion to $80 billion — to shareholders this year, a figure that on paper dwarfs anything in the company's history.

The plan includes 30 trillion won, or about $22 billion, in cash dividends to be paid in the third quarter, with 10 trillion to 20 trillion won earmarked for buybacks and share cancellations. The remaining 60 trillion to 80 trillion won is to be allocated at a board meeting in January, once the company has more clarity on 2026 cash flow. Samsung is committing roughly half of its free cash flow from 2024 through 2026 to the payout, a pool swelled by an operating-profit surge tied to soaring demand for the high-bandwidth memory chips that power AI data centers.

A Record That Still Disappointed

The figure is nearly five times Samsung's previous shareholder-return record of 20.3 trillion won, set in 2020, and it comes two days after rival SK Hynix unveiled its own 40 trillion won buyback, sending that stock up sharply. Investors had bid Samsung's preferred shares up more than 8 percent ahead of Friday's announcement on expectations the company would match or beat SK Hynix's commitment and, some analysts had speculated, could return as much as 150 trillion won. The final number, and Samsung's decision not to specify how much of the remaining pool will go to buybacks versus dividends, left the market unimpressed.

Samsung Electronics did not mention the possibility of raising its existing shareholder return policy.

Sohn In-joon, analyst, Eugene Securities

Samsung's structural constraints add to the caution: because affiliates Samsung Life and Samsung Fire hold large stakes in the electronics unit, a much larger buyback risks pushing those insurers' holdings above regulatory ownership limits, potentially forcing asset sales. That leaves dividends, rather than buybacks, as the more likely vehicle for the bulk of this year's payout — a distinction that matters for earnings per share and one investors say the company left unresolved.

The KOSPI index fell as much as 3.1 percent Monday, with SK Hynix also down more than 2 percent, as the disappointment rippled across Korea's chip-heavy benchmark. Samsung's underlying business remains strong — the AI memory boom driving its profit shows no sign of slowing — but Monday's selloff was a reminder that in a market pricing in outsized capital returns, a merely large number can still fall short.

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Jonas Weber · Markets Correspondent

Watches Europe's markets for UBStandard — equities, IPOs, central banks and the deals that move the continent's money.

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